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Unveiling Moving Average Secrets
Last Activity 2/23/2025 4:01 AM
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Frank Birch

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Joined: 3/25/2006
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Subject : Unveiling Moving Average Secrets
Posted : 11/6/2023 1:07 PM
Post #32351

Hi to all.

In the world of trading, there are countless indicators and tools that traders employ to make informed decisions. One such tool is the moving average (MA), a widely used technical indicator. It is not uncommon for traders to have their favorite MAs, often based on personal preferences or their interpretation of market dynamics. In this document, we will delve into the realm of moving averages, exploring the question: "What is your favorite moving average?" We will also seek to answer "Why?" as we uncover the hidden nuances of MAs.

Question 1: What is Your Favorite Moving Average?
For many traders, identifying a favorite moving average is an essential aspect of their trading strategy. It often comes down to a choice between different types of moving averages: Simple Moving Average (SMA), Exponential Moving Average (EMA), Weighted Moving Average (WMA), or other variations. Each MA has its unique characteristics and applications, making the selection process a crucial step in trading strategy development.

Question 2: Why?
In the quest to answer the second question, let's delve deeper into the rationale behind choosing a favorite moving average. I, like many other traders, initially favored the EMA because of its reputation for being faster and more responsive to market changes. However, my curiosity led me to investigate further.

The Exploration:
I decided to explore various moving averages within OmniTrader's filter block. My journey began with a thorough examination of each MA's formula and how they reacted to market dynamics. What I discovered was enlightening and, in some cases, surprising.

The Unexpected Findings:
While investigating the behavior of different moving averages, I found that each had its own unique characteristics. Some were indeed faster and more responsive, but others had their own strengths and weaknesses. This diversity challenged my initial assumptions about the EMA being the superior choice.

The Role of Strategy Maker:
In my quest to understand the intricacies of MAs, I realized the importance of Strategy Maker. This tool became instrumental in my journey to identify patterns and strategies that aligned with specific moving averages. It allowed me to craft trading strategies that took full advantage of the nuances of each MA.

The Epiphany:
As I delved deeper into my research, I had a groundbreaking realization. What if each symbol in the futures market had a preference for a particular moving average, not just for long positions but also for short positions? This revelation marked a significant turning point in my exploration.

The Statistical Edge:
Through systematic testing and analysis, I found that each symbol exhibited a statistical edge when paired with a specific moving average. This tailored approach, where each symbol favored a unique MA for long and short positions, opened up new possibilities in the trading world. I'm not claiming that this approach is a universal solution, but it undeniably works in the context of the real-time futures market and the Forex six major currency pairs.

Conclusion:
In conclusion, the journey into the world of moving averages and trading strategies is a testament to the ever-evolving nature of the financial markets. What may appear to be a simple choice between different moving averages can lead to profound discoveries. The uniqueness of each moving average, coupled with the individual preferences of symbols, challenges conventional trading wisdom and offers traders a new perspective on gaining that elusive edge in their trading endeavors.

Food for Thought:
My journey reminds us that the world of trading is a never-ending exploration. It encourages us to question our assumptions and explore the hidden intricacies of the tools we use. Perhaps the key to success lies not in a one-size-fits-all strategy but in understanding the nuances of each indicator and adapting our approach accordingly. In this ever-changing landscape, traders must remain open to new ideas and approaches, as they may hold the key to the success they seek.

My journey serves as an inspiration to all traders, reminding us that the path to success in the financial markets is often filled with surprises and unexpected discoveries. Whether you choose the EMA, SMA, or any other moving average, the key is to remain open to new possibilities, constantly evolving your strategies, and adapting to the ever-changing dynamics of the trading world. Happy trading!

Please find attached flow chart screen shot of the 6E symbol with what strategy maker found the best moving averages to use!
Outstanding find!

Regards

Frank Birch
Attached file : ES MA choice.png (131KB - 99 downloads)

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Frank Birch

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Posts: 171

Joined: 3/25/2006
Location: UK

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Subject : RE: Unveiling Moving Average Secrets
Posted : 11/10/2023 2:41 PM
Post #32361 - In reply to #32351

Hi to all,


This is over looked we take an moving average for granted but stop and listen!!

Basic EMA for both Longs & Shorts.




screen shot of basic EMA performance report and revised with choice.
what would you choose??



TMA for Longs and ZMA for shorts!!
Change your thoughts guys this is a game changer!!
Regards

Frank Birch

[Edited by Frank Birch on 11/10/2023 2:56 PM]

Attached file : Performance report.png (289KB - 173 downloads)
Attached file : Moving average advance.png (290KB - 171 downloads)

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