OmniTrader Forum OmniTrader Forum
forums calendars search
today this week
 
register logon control panel Forum Rules
You are currently browsing as a guest.
You should logon to access more features
A Self-Moderated Community - ALL MEMBERS, PLEASE READ!
Vote for Members who contribute the most to your trading, and help us moderate content within the Forums.


This message cannot be deleted. It is the first message of the thread.
Administrators or moderators may choose to delete the entire thread


 
LSJ

Legend
500
Posts: 515

Joined: 8/17/2006
Location: Citrus Springs, FL

User Profile
 
Subject : Xsuite with ATM Micro Macro
Posted : 3/15/2018 9:00 AM
Post #44264

I have applied ATM Micro Macro to the bundle of Xsuite strategies. The first run was with all the default settings and all the strategies selected for each market state. The portfolio size is $40K no leverage long only.
I used 5 years of data, exported the Port Sim results, and then ran an Excel pivot table to see what I might learn. The list was the first 300 stocks from the Omniscan list:

My goal is to whittle down the drawdown to 10% or less. It is not lost on me that once drawdown exceeds 7% the percentage needed to recover starts getting exponential. The other factors that I personally desire are the gut check numbers. It is exciting to see the huge gains but if the drawdown is over 20% I just know I won’t be able to sit still. (I’m too old for fireworks!) I want to see the Calmar ratio greater than one and the max consecutive losses is another psychological number. I don’t think I would have the confidence to sit through more than about 8 consecutive losses either.

The first result from Excel is:


Excel detail including the strategies:



Armed with this information the strategy selections are adjusted to eliminate negative returns from the strategy selections for each state.


The ROI went from 130% to 192% while the drawdown went from 22% down to 13.5% and the Calmar ratio went from 0.63 to 1.31.

This is a good start and is just a simple analysis based on the Excel result. I’m sure there are a lot more possibilities.




[Edited by LSJ on 3/15/2018 12:39 PM]

Attached file : Omniscan List.png (7KB - 2128 downloads)
Attached file : Excel Xsuite Overview.png (6KB - 2126 downloads)
Attached file : Excel Xsuite MiMa Strat.png (41KB - 2136 downloads)
Attached file : Xsuite Port Sim.jpg (633KB - 498 downloads)
Attached file : Xsuite Port Sim.jpg (113KB - 2016 downloads)

Deleting message 44264 : Xsuite with ATM Micro Macro


Nirvana Systems
For any problems or issues please contact our Webmaster at webmaster@nirvsys.com.