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tgrafa

Regular
2525
Posts: 63

Joined: 10/11/2012
Location: Midland, Texas

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Subject : RE: V2 Success
Posted : 11/13/2014 12:07 AM
Post #34470 - In reply to #34469

Thanks Juan. I think we are on the same page on many of your comments.

The positive thing (which I can't track 100% because of changing portfolios) is that my real accounts seem to pretty well track the simulation curves - that gives me confidence that longer term I'm likely fine and for that reason I have stuck with the program.

I have initiated 9% TP stops to cut my losses. I feel that once a stock gets that underwater it is hard for an RTM trade to recover - I've recently had too many 12%-15% losses beating up my accounts. I know long-term that Nirvana would say I am hurting myself and 'selling at the bottom' but those double digit hits are painful. I also think that OV needs to do a better job of syncing accounts once a stock is stopped out by the TP or manually traded (or a short fails to fill). We need a way to automatically reinvest those funds in a timely manner - maybe TP on server will move us closer to that ability.

I also agree that the strong V was a killer for RTM trades - that straight down correction and even quicker recovery was not an RTM market. I guess what puzzles me is the periods before and after the V as to why the general non performance of RTM trades. My post may have come across as a little whiny but that was not my intent - if someone out there has any ideas as to how to explain (even in hindsight) what happened I would really be interested.

Conditional filtering and dynamic exits holds some possibilities to turn off non-performing strategies/portfolios and cut losses - I just don't know that I have the ability to decipher that puzzle at this time - I'm sure conditional filtering and dynamic exits will become clearer as time progresses.

IMO the near-term hopeful solution will be the PB once it becomes fully operational. Being able to measure the performance curve of say an RTM portfolio verses other non-correlated trading portfolios or even cash should cut some of the potential draw-down. I also am looking forward to some of those elite trader possibilities to throw into the mix and see what they might offer.

Sorry to hear you experienced some of what I did but as I said, misery loves company :^( In the meantime, I'll focus on that longer term simulation curve - back out to a 2-3 year chart where the granularity of those painful shorter term moves seem to magically disappear!

Thanks for your thoughts.


Deleting message 34470 : RE: V2 Success


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